Sensex outlook weak for next week

The Sensex successfully broken the resistance at 14000 in the last week but could not hold above the next resistance at 15000. Sensex closed below 15000 in the last two sessions of the week and settled at 14274.94.

Reversal below 14000 would warn of another test of primary support at 12500, while recovery above 15000 would signal that the primary down-trend is weakening. Failure of support at 12500 would warn of another primary down-swing.

In these circumstances, the over bought formation on the simple daily stochastic assures another sharp fall during the next week to test the support at 12500. This validates our previous trend studies to hold good as the market movements are guided through the downward channel.

Sensex Targets 12000 in a downward channel

Sensex moves in a downward channel targeting the support at 12000. The middle line of the channel acts as a strong resistance around 14000. This downward movement is in line with our earlier post forecasting the bearish trend for July 2008. In the previous post the target was fixed at 12245 for the ongoing bearish trend. Now it is not too far to reach as the market loses steam day by day. Market outlook for Sensex is very weak and it is expected to test support at 12000 within few trading sessions from now.